California vs No. 12 Ohio State live
It's a lovely day for football here, with fall-like temperatures in the 60s at kickoff. Doesn't get much better than this.
Unless you're the California Bears, who probably would like a little more sleep. Remember, today's kickoff is at 9 a.m. on the Bears' body clocks. But that's not their biggest concern. Jeff Tedford's program has been slipping of late and hasn't been really impressive this season, losing to Nevada at home and giving up 31 points to Southern Utah last week in a win.
Still, this should be a good test for Ohio State. Cal's defense will load the box, often with eight defenders near the line of scrimmage. The Bears will do everything they can to keep quarterback Braxton Miller, the Big Ten's leading rusher, from beating them with his feet. The Buckeyes likely will have to make some things happen in the downfield passing game, an area that's still a bit of a work in progress for them. But it's something they will need down the road, for sure.
The running game outside of Miller remains a question mark. Carlos Hyde (knee) is out. Jordan Hall (foot) is dressed and should make his season debut. Urban Meyer has said Hall's foot is healed, but he's rusty and the team doesn't want to push him too hard and risk further injury. So we likely will see Hall in a very limited basis today. Freshman Bri'onte Dunn is likely to get the start at tailback.
Meyer also wants to see more pressure from his defense today, and Cal's passing attack should give OSU opportunities. The Buckeyes don't want to get too aggressive, though, and allow big plays by star receiver Keenan Allen. He is also dangerous in the return game, as he scored on a 69-yard punt return last year.
If Ohio State is as good as its No. 12 ranking, it should take care of business today. Stay tuned for much more coverage.
Ohio State is a heavy favorite winning 89% of simulations over California. Braxton Miller is averaging 197 passing yards and 1.9 TDs per simulation and Braxton Miller is projected for 78 rushing yards and a 69% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 11% of simulations where California wins, Zach Maynard averages 1.35 TD passes vs 0.84 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 1.1 interceptions. Isi Sofele averages 74 rushing yards and 0.59 rushing TDs when California wins and 67 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Ohio State has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OHST -17 --- Over/Under line is 52.5
It's a lovely day for football here, with fall-like temperatures in the 60s at kickoff. Doesn't get much better than this.
Unless you're the California Bears, who probably would like a little more sleep. Remember, today's kickoff is at 9 a.m. on the Bears' body clocks. But that's not their biggest concern. Jeff Tedford's program has been slipping of late and hasn't been really impressive this season, losing to Nevada at home and giving up 31 points to Southern Utah last week in a win.
Still, this should be a good test for Ohio State. Cal's defense will load the box, often with eight defenders near the line of scrimmage. The Bears will do everything they can to keep quarterback Braxton Miller, the Big Ten's leading rusher, from beating them with his feet. The Buckeyes likely will have to make some things happen in the downfield passing game, an area that's still a bit of a work in progress for them. But it's something they will need down the road, for sure.
The running game outside of Miller remains a question mark. Carlos Hyde (knee) is out. Jordan Hall (foot) is dressed and should make his season debut. Urban Meyer has said Hall's foot is healed, but he's rusty and the team doesn't want to push him too hard and risk further injury. So we likely will see Hall in a very limited basis today. Freshman Bri'onte Dunn is likely to get the start at tailback.
Meyer also wants to see more pressure from his defense today, and Cal's passing attack should give OSU opportunities. The Buckeyes don't want to get too aggressive, though, and allow big plays by star receiver Keenan Allen. He is also dangerous in the return game, as he scored on a 69-yard punt return last year.
If Ohio State is as good as its No. 12 ranking, it should take care of business today. Stay tuned for much more coverage.
Ohio State is a heavy favorite winning 89% of simulations over California. Braxton Miller is averaging 197 passing yards and 1.9 TDs per simulation and Braxton Miller is projected for 78 rushing yards and a 69% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 11% of simulations where California wins, Zach Maynard averages 1.35 TD passes vs 0.84 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 1.1 interceptions. Isi Sofele averages 74 rushing yards and 0.59 rushing TDs when California wins and 67 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Ohio State has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OHST -17 --- Over/Under line is 52.5
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